Wda Swiecie vs Notec Czarnkow Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Wda Swiecie vs Notec Czarnkow
Model pick: Wda Swiecie (52%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.9 – 1.11
Total goals: 3.0
Over 2.5: 55%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Wda Swiecie | Notec Czarnkow |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.2 | 2.0 / 1.6 |
*Wda Swiecie shown at home, Notec Czarnkow shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Wda Swiecie — last 5
DDWDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Notec Czarnkow — last 5
LLWWW
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Wda Swiecie (home) | Notec Czarnkow (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 50% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.24
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 65%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.9 vs 1.11):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Wda Swiecie or draw (1X) | 78% |
| Double chance — Notec Czarnkow or draw (X2) | 44% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 80% / 20% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 35% / 65% |
| Wda Swiecie clean sheet | 33% |
| Notec Czarnkow clean sheet | 15% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Wda Swiecie is the model's most likely outcome at
52%. Wda Swiecie are backed at home, where they average 2.3 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.0, this shapes as an open game (55% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Wda Swiecie vs Notec Czarnkow — FAQ
Who will win Wda Swiecie vs Notec Czarnkow?
Our statistical model makes Wda Swiecie the most likely result at 52%. Full probabilities: Wda Swiecie 52%, draw 24%, Notec Czarnkow 24%.
Will both teams score in Wda Swiecie vs Notec Czarnkow?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Wda Swiecie vs Notec Czarnkow?
Expected goals are 1.9 for Wda Swiecie and 1.11 for Notec Czarnkow — about 3.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Wda Swiecie vs Notec Czarnkow?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Wda Swiecie or draw is 78%.