Wehen Wiesbaden vs Preußen Münster Prediction & Preview
3 Liga (Germany) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 LIGA (GERMANY)
Wehen Wiesbaden vs Preußen Münster
Model pick: Wehen Wiesbaden (39%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.54 – 1.51
Total goals: 3.0
Over 2.5: 56%
Both teams score: 60%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Wehen Wiesbaden | Preußen Münster |
|---|
| League position | #11 (0 pts) | #18 (30 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.0 | 2.0 / 1.2 |
*Wehen Wiesbaden shown at home, Preußen Münster shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Wehen Wiesbaden — last 5
WWLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 51% of home games go over 2.5.
Preußen Münster — last 5
LWWWL
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 59% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Wehen Wiesbaden (home) | Preußen Münster (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 59% |
| Top scorer | – | Etienne Amenyido (6) |
3 Liga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.9
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 58%
Use these 3 Liga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.54 vs 1.51):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Wehen Wiesbaden or draw (1X) | 63% |
| Double chance — Preußen Münster or draw (X2) | 61% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 81% / 19% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 36% / 64% |
| Wehen Wiesbaden clean sheet | 22% |
| Preußen Münster clean sheet | 21% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Wehen Wiesbaden is the model's most likely outcome at
39%. Wehen Wiesbaden are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.0, this shapes as an open game (56% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Wehen Wiesbaden vs Preußen Münster — FAQ
Who will win Wehen Wiesbaden vs Preußen Münster?
Our statistical model makes Wehen Wiesbaden the most likely result at 39%. Full probabilities: Wehen Wiesbaden 39%, draw 26%, Preußen Münster 36%.
Will both teams score in Wehen Wiesbaden vs Preußen Münster?
The model gives a 60% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Wehen Wiesbaden vs Preußen Münster?
Expected goals are 1.54 for Wehen Wiesbaden and 1.51 for Preußen Münster — about 3.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Wehen Wiesbaden vs Preußen Münster?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Wehen Wiesbaden or draw is 63%.