Wehen Wiesbaden vs Rot-Weiss Essen Prediction & Preview
3 Liga (Germany) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 LIGA (GERMANY)
Wehen Wiesbaden vs Rot-Weiss Essen
Model pick: Rot-Weiss Essen (39%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.69 – 1.5
Total goals: 3.2
Over 2.5: 57%
Both teams score: 62%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Wehen Wiesbaden | Rot-Weiss Essen |
|---|
| League position | #20 (0 pts) | #14 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 3.0 | 2.0 / 5.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 2.8 | 1.2 / 2.0 |
*Wehen Wiesbaden shown at home, Rot-Weiss Essen shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Wehen Wiesbaden — last 5
WLLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 24% of the time; 52% of home games go over 2.5.
Rot-Weiss Essen — last 5
LLLWW
On the road: clean sheet 11% of the time; 59% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Wehen Wiesbaden (home) | Rot-Weiss Essen (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-1 in 1 (1.0 / 3.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (2.0 / 5.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 24% | 11% |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 59% |
3 Liga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.9
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 58%
Use these 3 Liga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.69 vs 1.5):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Wehen Wiesbaden or draw (1X) | 66% |
| Double chance — Rot-Weiss Essen or draw (X2) | 58% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 83% / 17% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 40% / 60% |
| Wehen Wiesbaden clean sheet | 22% |
| Rot-Weiss Essen clean sheet | 18% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Rot-Weiss Essen is the model's most likely outcome at
39%. Despite playing away, Rot-Weiss Essen edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.2, this shapes as an open game (57% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Wehen Wiesbaden vs Rot-Weiss Essen — FAQ
Who will win Wehen Wiesbaden vs Rot-Weiss Essen?
Our statistical model makes Rot-Weiss Essen the most likely result at 39%. Full probabilities: Wehen Wiesbaden 36%, draw 25%, Rot-Weiss Essen 39%.
Will both teams score in Wehen Wiesbaden vs Rot-Weiss Essen?
The model gives a 62% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Wehen Wiesbaden vs Rot-Weiss Essen?
Expected goals are 1.69 for Wehen Wiesbaden and 1.5 for Rot-Weiss Essen — about 3.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Wehen Wiesbaden vs Rot-Weiss Essen?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Wehen Wiesbaden or draw is 66%.