Weiden vs Ammerthal Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 07, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Weiden vs Ammerthal
Model pick: Weiden (57%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.4 – 0.46
Total goals: 1.9
Over 2.5: 38%
Both teams score: 41%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Weiden | Ammerthal |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.33 | 0.75 / 2.75 |
*Weiden shown at home, Ammerthal shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Weiden — last 5
LLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Ammerthal — last 5
LWDL
On the road: clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Weiden (home) | Ammerthal (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.03
Home wins: 39%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.4 vs 0.46):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (22%) |
| Double chance — Weiden or draw (1X) | 88% |
| Double chance — Ammerthal or draw (X2) | 39% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 55% / 45% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 12% / 88% |
| Weiden clean sheet | 63% |
| Ammerthal clean sheet | 25% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Weiden is the model's most likely outcome at
57%. Weiden are backed at home, where they average 0.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (62% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Weiden vs Ammerthal — FAQ
Who will win Weiden vs Ammerthal?
Our statistical model makes Weiden the most likely result at 57%. Full probabilities: Weiden 57%, draw 29%, Ammerthal 14%.
Will both teams score in Weiden vs Ammerthal?
The model gives a 41% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Weiden vs Ammerthal?
Expected goals are 1.4 for Weiden and 0.46 for Ammerthal — about 1.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Weiden vs Ammerthal?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (22%). Double chance for Weiden or draw is 88%.