Weiden vs Grossbardorf Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Weiden vs Grossbardorf
Model pick: Weiden (58%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.3 – 1.18
Total goals: 3.5
Over 2.5: 61%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Weiden | Grossbardorf |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 3.0 | 0.6 / 1.8 |
*Weiden shown at home, Grossbardorf shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Weiden — last 5
DLDLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Grossbardorf — last 5
WLDLL
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Weiden (home) | Grossbardorf (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 33% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.54
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 66%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.3 vs 1.18):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Weiden or draw (1X) | 82% |
| Double chance — Grossbardorf or draw (X2) | 38% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 81% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 86% / 14% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 46% / 54% |
| Weiden clean sheet | 31% |
| Grossbardorf clean sheet | 10% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Weiden is the model's most likely outcome at
58%. Weiden are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.5, this shapes as an open game (61% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Weiden vs Grossbardorf — FAQ
Who will win Weiden vs Grossbardorf?
Our statistical model makes Weiden the most likely result at 58%. Full probabilities: Weiden 58%, draw 21%, Grossbardorf 21%.
Will both teams score in Weiden vs Grossbardorf?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Weiden vs Grossbardorf?
Expected goals are 2.3 for Weiden and 1.18 for Grossbardorf — about 3.5 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Weiden vs Grossbardorf?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (10%). Double chance for Weiden or draw is 82%.