Weiden vs Kornburg Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 18, 2026 · kickoff 16:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Weiden vs Kornburg
Model pick: Kornburg (43%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.94 – 1.29
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 44%
Both teams score: 49%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Weiden | Kornburg |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.25 | 0.8 / 2.4 |
*Weiden shown at home, Kornburg shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Weiden — last 5
LLDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Kornburg — last 5
LDDWW
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Weiden (home) | Kornburg (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.16
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 59%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.94 vs 1.29):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (14%) |
| Double chance — Weiden or draw (1X) | 55% |
| Double chance — Kornburg or draw (X2) | 73% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 65% / 35% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 19% / 81% |
| Weiden clean sheet | 28% |
| Kornburg clean sheet | 39% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Kornburg is the model's most likely outcome at
43%. Despite playing away, Kornburg edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (56% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Weiden vs Kornburg — FAQ
Who will win Weiden vs Kornburg?
Our statistical model makes Kornburg the most likely result at 43%. Full probabilities: Weiden 28%, draw 29%, Kornburg 43%.
Will both teams score in Weiden vs Kornburg?
The model gives a 49% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Weiden vs Kornburg?
Expected goals are 0.94 for Weiden and 1.29 for Kornburg — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Weiden vs Kornburg?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (14%). Double chance for Weiden or draw is 55%.