Werder Bremen III vs Blumenthaler Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Werder Bremen III vs Blumenthaler
Model pick: Blumenthaler (90%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.52 – 8.34
Total goals: 10.9
Over 2.5: 68%
Both teams score: 63%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Werder Bremen III | Blumenthaler |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 3.5 | 5.0 / 1.5 |
*Werder Bremen III shown at home, Blumenthaler shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Werder Bremen III — last 5
LL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Blumenthaler — last 5
WW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Werder Bremen III (home) | Blumenthaler (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.43
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.52 vs 8.34):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-8 (7%) |
| Double chance — Werder Bremen III or draw (1X) | 8% |
| Double chance — Blumenthaler or draw (X2) | 96% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 96% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 99% / 1% |
| Werder Bremen III clean sheet | 0% |
| Blumenthaler clean sheet | 8% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Blumenthaler is the model's most likely outcome at
90%. Despite playing away, Blumenthaler edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 10.9, this shapes as an open game (68% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Werder Bremen III vs Blumenthaler — FAQ
Who will win Werder Bremen III vs Blumenthaler?
Our statistical model makes Blumenthaler the most likely result at 90%. Full probabilities: Werder Bremen III 5%, draw 5%, Blumenthaler 90%.
Will both teams score in Werder Bremen III vs Blumenthaler?
The model gives a 63% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Werder Bremen III vs Blumenthaler?
Expected goals are 2.52 for Werder Bremen III and 8.34 for Blumenthaler — about 10.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Werder Bremen III vs Blumenthaler?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-8 (7%). Double chance for Werder Bremen III or draw is 8%.