West Ham United vs Fulham Prediction & Preview
EFL Cup (England) · Sep 08, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
EFL CUP (ENGLAND)
West Ham United vs Fulham
Model pick: Fulham (73%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.51 – 2.32
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams score: 46%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| West Ham United | Fulham |
|---|
| League position | #18 (39 pts) | #16 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.4 / 1.6 | 0.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 32% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.4 / 1.6 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
*West Ham United shown at home, Fulham shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
West Ham United — last 5
DLWDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 24% of the time; 55% of home games go over 2.5.
Fulham — last 5
DWLWL
On the road: clean sheet 24% of the time; 48% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | West Ham United (home) | Fulham (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 6-4-9 in 19 (1.4 / 1.6 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 24% | 24% |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 48% |
| Top scorer | Sam Nombe (12) | – |
EFL Cup (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.08
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 0%
Away wins: 55%
Over 2.5: 67%
BTTS: 55%
Use these EFL Cup (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.51 vs 2.32):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-2 (16%) |
| Double chance — West Ham United or draw (1X) | 22% |
| Double chance — Fulham or draw (X2) | 94% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 85% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 77% / 23% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 31% / 69% |
| West Ham United clean sheet | 10% |
| Fulham clean sheet | 60% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Fulham is the model's most likely outcome at
73%. Despite playing away, Fulham edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (47% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ West Ham United vs Fulham — FAQ
Who will win West Ham United vs Fulham?
Our statistical model makes Fulham the most likely result at 73%. Full probabilities: West Ham United 9%, draw 18%, Fulham 73%.
Will both teams score in West Ham United vs Fulham?
The model gives a 46% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in West Ham United vs Fulham?
Expected goals are 0.51 for West Ham United and 2.32 for Fulham — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in West Ham United vs Fulham?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-2 (16%). Double chance for West Ham United or draw is 22%.