Weston-super-Mare vs Chesham United Prediction & Preview
National League N/S (England) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NATIONAL LEAGUE N/S (ENGLAND)
Weston-super-Mare vs Chesham United
Model pick: Weston-super-Mare (43%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.43 – 1.1
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 49%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Weston-super-Mare | Chesham United |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.2 | 2.2 / 2.4 |
*Weston-super-Mare shown at home, Chesham United shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Weston-super-Mare — last 5
DLWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 27% of the time; 49% of home games go over 2.5.
Chesham United — last 5
LLDWL
On the road: clean sheet 13% of the time; 55% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Weston-super-Mare (home) | Chesham United (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 27% | 13% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 55% |
National League N/S (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.79
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 54%
Use these National League N/S (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.43 vs 1.1):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Weston-super-Mare or draw (1X) | 71% |
| Double chance — Chesham United or draw (X2) | 55% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 72% / 28% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 25% / 75% |
| Weston-super-Mare clean sheet | 33% |
| Chesham United clean sheet | 24% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Weston-super-Mare is the model's most likely outcome at
43%. Weston-super-Mare are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (51% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Weston-super-Mare vs Chesham United — FAQ
Who will win Weston-super-Mare vs Chesham United?
Our statistical model makes Weston-super-Mare the most likely result at 43%. Full probabilities: Weston-super-Mare 43%, draw 27%, Chesham United 30%.
Will both teams score in Weston-super-Mare vs Chesham United?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Weston-super-Mare vs Chesham United?
Expected goals are 1.43 for Weston-super-Mare and 1.1 for Chesham United — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Weston-super-Mare vs Chesham United?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Weston-super-Mare or draw is 71%.