Weszlo vs Jagiellonia II Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Weszlo vs Jagiellonia II
Model pick: Weszlo (90%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 4.75 – 0.82
Total goals: 5.6
Over 2.5: 79%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Weszlo | Jagiellonia II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.5 / 1.0 | 2.4 / 2.0 |
*Weszlo shown at home, Jagiellonia II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Weszlo — last 5
DWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Jagiellonia II — last 5
DWWDD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Weszlo (home) | Jagiellonia II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.25
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 67%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (4.75 vs 0.82):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 4-0 (9%) |
| Double chance — Weszlo or draw (1X) | 98% |
| Double chance — Jagiellonia II or draw (X2) | 6% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 96% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 97% / 3% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 80% / 20% |
| Weszlo clean sheet | 44% |
| Jagiellonia II clean sheet | 1% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Weszlo is the model's most likely outcome at
90%. Weszlo are backed at home, where they average 3.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 5.6, this shapes as an open game (79% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Weszlo vs Jagiellonia II — FAQ
Who will win Weszlo vs Jagiellonia II?
Our statistical model makes Weszlo the most likely result at 90%. Full probabilities: Weszlo 90%, draw 6%, Jagiellonia II 4%.
Will both teams score in Weszlo vs Jagiellonia II?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Weszlo vs Jagiellonia II?
Expected goals are 4.75 for Weszlo and 0.82 for Jagiellonia II — about 5.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Weszlo vs Jagiellonia II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 4-0 (9%). Double chance for Weszlo or draw is 98%.