Weszlo vs Mlawa Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 14, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Weszlo vs Mlawa
Model pick: Weszlo (71%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.38 – 0.02
Total goals: 1.4
Over 2.5: 30%
Both teams score: 14%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Weszlo | Mlawa |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.67 / 1.0 | 2.2 / 1.2 |
*Weszlo shown at home, Mlawa shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Weszlo — last 5
DWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Mlawa — last 5
WWWWL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Weszlo (home) | Mlawa (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.15
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 62%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.38 vs 0.02):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (34%) |
| Double chance — Weszlo or draw (1X) | 99% |
| Double chance — Mlawa or draw (X2) | 26% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 41% / 59% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 5% / 95% |
| Weszlo clean sheet | 98% |
| Mlawa clean sheet | 25% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Weszlo is the model's most likely outcome at
71%. Weszlo are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (70% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Weszlo vs Mlawa — FAQ
Who will win Weszlo vs Mlawa?
Our statistical model makes Weszlo the most likely result at 71%. Full probabilities: Weszlo 71%, draw 28%, Mlawa 1%.
Will both teams score in Weszlo vs Mlawa?
The model gives a 14% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Weszlo vs Mlawa?
Expected goals are 1.38 for Weszlo and 0.02 for Mlawa — about 1.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Weszlo vs Mlawa?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (34%). Double chance for Weszlo or draw is 99%.