Weszlo vs Zabki Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Weszlo vs Zabki
Model pick: Weszlo (57%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.08 – 1.06
Total goals: 3.1
Over 2.5: 57%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Weszlo | Zabki |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.0 / 0.8 | 2.0 / 1.0 |
*Weszlo shown at home, Zabki shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Weszlo — last 5
WWWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Zabki — last 5
WLDWW
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 75% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Weszlo (home) | Zabki (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 75% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.23
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 62%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.08 vs 1.06):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Weszlo or draw (1X) | 81% |
| Double chance — Zabki or draw (X2) | 39% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 82% / 18% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 38% / 62% |
| Weszlo clean sheet | 35% |
| Zabki clean sheet | 12% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Weszlo is the model's most likely outcome at
57%. Weszlo are backed at home, where they average 3.2 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.1, this shapes as an open game (57% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Weszlo vs Zabki — FAQ
Who will win Weszlo vs Zabki?
Our statistical model makes Weszlo the most likely result at 57%. Full probabilities: Weszlo 57%, draw 23%, Zabki 21%.
Will both teams score in Weszlo vs Zabki?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Weszlo vs Zabki?
Expected goals are 2.08 for Weszlo and 1.06 for Zabki — about 3.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Weszlo vs Zabki?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (10%). Double chance for Weszlo or draw is 81%.