Whitby vs Warrington Town Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Whitby vs Warrington Town
Model pick: Warrington Town (86%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.27 – 2.91
Total goals: 3.2
Over 2.5: 57%
Both teams score: 38%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Whitby | Warrington Town |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.5 / 1.25 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
*Whitby shown at home, Warrington Town shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Whitby — last 5
DWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Warrington Town — last 5
LLWWD
On the road: clean sheet 21% of the time; 46% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Whitby (home) | Warrington Town (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 21% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 46% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.69
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 53%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.27 vs 2.91):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-2 (18%) |
| Double chance — Whitby or draw (1X) | 10% |
| Double chance — Warrington Town or draw (X2) | 98% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 92% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 83% / 17% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 39% / 61% |
| Whitby clean sheet | 5% |
| Warrington Town clean sheet | 76% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Warrington Town is the model's most likely outcome at
86%. Despite playing away, Warrington Town edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.2, this shapes as an open game (57% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
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❓ Whitby vs Warrington Town — FAQ
Who will win Whitby vs Warrington Town?
Our statistical model makes Warrington Town the most likely result at 86%. Full probabilities: Whitby 3%, draw 11%, Warrington Town 86%.
Will both teams score in Whitby vs Warrington Town?
The model gives a 38% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Whitby vs Warrington Town?
Expected goals are 0.27 for Whitby and 2.91 for Warrington Town — about 3.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Whitby vs Warrington Town?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-2 (18%). Double chance for Whitby or draw is 10%.