Widzew Łódź vs Radomiak Radom Prediction & Preview
Ekstraklasa (Poland) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 12:45 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
EKSTRAKLASA (POLAND)
Widzew Łódź vs Radomiak Radom
Model pick: Widzew Łódź (52%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.55 – 1.15
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Widzew Łódź | Radomiak Radom |
|---|
| League position | #13 (6 pts) | #12 (7 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.7 / 2.3 | 0.5 / 4.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.6 | 0.8 / 2.0 |
*Widzew Łódź shown at home, Radomiak Radom shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Widzew Łódź — last 5
DWLDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 34% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Radomiak Radom — last 5
LDLDW
On the road: clean sheet 22% of the time; 54% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Widzew Łódź (home) | Radomiak Radom (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-2 in 3 (1.7 / 2.3 goals per game) | 0-0-2 in 2 (0.5 / 4.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 34% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 54% |
| Top scorer | Sebastian Bergier (12) | Abdoul Tapsoba (6) |
Ekstraklasa (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.66
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 53%
Use these Ekstraklasa (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.55 vs 1.15):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Widzew Łódź or draw (1X) | 72% |
| Double chance — Radomiak Radom or draw (X2) | 53% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 75% / 25% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 29% / 71% |
| Widzew Łódź clean sheet | 32% |
| Radomiak Radom clean sheet | 21% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Widzew Łódź is the model's most likely outcome at
52%. Widzew Łódź are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (49% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Widzew Łódź vs Radomiak Radom — FAQ
Who will win Widzew Łódź vs Radomiak Radom?
Our statistical model makes Widzew Łódź the most likely result at 52%. Full probabilities: Widzew Łódź 52%, draw 25%, Radomiak Radom 23%.
Will both teams score in Widzew Łódź vs Radomiak Radom?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Widzew Łódź vs Radomiak Radom?
Expected goals are 1.55 for Widzew Łódź and 1.15 for Radomiak Radom — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Widzew Łódź vs Radomiak Radom?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Widzew Łódź or draw is 72%.