Widzew Lodz II vs Plock II Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 10:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Widzew Lodz II vs Plock II
Model pick: Widzew Lodz II (68%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.12 – 0.6
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams score: 47%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Widzew Lodz II | Plock II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 0.6 | 2.4 / 2.0 |
*Widzew Lodz II shown at home, Plock II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Widzew Lodz II — last 5
WLDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 20% of the time; 80% of home games go over 2.5.
Plock II — last 5
WDDLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Widzew Lodz II (home) | Plock II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 20% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 67% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.23
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 62%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.12 vs 0.6):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (15%) |
| Double chance — Widzew Lodz II or draw (1X) | 91% |
| Double chance — Plock II or draw (X2) | 27% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 82% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 75% / 25% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 29% / 71% |
| Widzew Lodz II clean sheet | 55% |
| Plock II clean sheet | 12% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Widzew Lodz II is the model's most likely outcome at
68%. Widzew Lodz II are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (49% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Widzew Lodz II vs Plock II — FAQ
Who will win Widzew Lodz II vs Plock II?
Our statistical model makes Widzew Lodz II the most likely result at 68%. Full probabilities: Widzew Lodz II 68%, draw 21%, Plock II 12%.
Will both teams score in Widzew Lodz II vs Plock II?
The model gives a 47% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Widzew Lodz II vs Plock II?
Expected goals are 2.12 for Widzew Lodz II and 0.6 for Plock II — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Widzew Lodz II vs Plock II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (15%). Double chance for Widzew Lodz II or draw is 91%.