Widzew Lodz II vs Swit Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 10:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Widzew Lodz II vs Swit
Model pick: Swit (100%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.1 – 11.38
Total goals: 11.5
Over 2.5: 46%
Both teams score: 20%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Widzew Lodz II | Swit |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 2.2 | 2.4 / 1.2 |
*Widzew Lodz II shown at home, Swit shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Widzew Lodz II — last 5
WLLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Swit — last 5
WLDWW
On the road: clean sheet 26% of the time; 42% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Widzew Lodz II (home) | Swit (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 26% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 42% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.15
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 62%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.1 vs 11.38):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-8 (36%) |
| Double chance — Widzew Lodz II or draw (1X) | 0% |
| Double chance — Swit or draw (X2) | 100% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 100% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 98% / 2% |
| Widzew Lodz II clean sheet | 0% |
| Swit clean sheet | 90% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Swit is the model's most likely outcome at
100%. Despite playing away, Swit edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (54% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Widzew Lodz II vs Swit — FAQ
Who will win Widzew Lodz II vs Swit?
Our statistical model makes Swit the most likely result at 100%. Full probabilities: Widzew Lodz II 0%, draw 0%, Swit 100%.
Will both teams score in Widzew Lodz II vs Swit?
The model gives a 20% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Widzew Lodz II vs Swit?
Expected goals are 0.1 for Widzew Lodz II and 11.38 for Swit — about 11.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Widzew Lodz II vs Swit?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-8 (36%). Double chance for Widzew Lodz II or draw is 0%.