Wieczysta Kraków vs Zagłębie Lubin Prediction & Preview
Ekstraklasa (Poland) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
EKSTRAKLASA (POLAND)
Wieczysta Kraków vs Zagłębie Lubin
Model pick: Wieczysta Kraków (49%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.9 – 1.26
Total goals: 3.2
Over 2.5: 57%
Both teams score: 57%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Wieczysta Kraków | Zagłębie Lubin |
|---|
| League position | #17 (3 pts) | #9 (8 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 2.0 | 0.5 / 1.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 2.4 | 1.0 / 0.8 |
*Wieczysta Kraków shown at home, Zagłębie Lubin shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Wieczysta Kraków — last 5
LLWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 57% of home games go over 2.5.
Zagłębie Lubin — last 5
WLWDD
On the road: clean sheet 23% of the time; 51% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Wieczysta Kraków (home) | Zagłębie Lubin (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-1 in 1 (1.0 / 2.0 goals per game) | 0-1-1 in 2 (0.5 / 1.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 23% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 51% |
Ekstraklasa (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.66
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 53%
Use these Ekstraklasa (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.9 vs 1.26):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Wieczysta Kraków or draw (1X) | 75% |
| Double chance — Zagłębie Lubin or draw (X2) | 48% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 82% / 18% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 39% / 61% |
| Wieczysta Kraków clean sheet | 28% |
| Zagłębie Lubin clean sheet | 15% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Wieczysta Kraków is the model's most likely outcome at
49%. Wieczysta Kraków are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.2, this shapes as an open game (57% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Wieczysta Kraków vs Zagłębie Lubin — FAQ
Who will win Wieczysta Kraków vs Zagłębie Lubin?
Our statistical model makes Wieczysta Kraków the most likely result at 49%. Full probabilities: Wieczysta Kraków 49%, draw 24%, Zagłębie Lubin 27%.
Will both teams score in Wieczysta Kraków vs Zagłębie Lubin?
The model gives a 57% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Wieczysta Kraków vs Zagłębie Lubin?
Expected goals are 1.9 for Wieczysta Kraków and 1.26 for Zagłębie Lubin — about 3.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Wieczysta Kraków vs Zagłębie Lubin?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Wieczysta Kraków or draw is 75%.