Wigan Athletic vs Stockport County Prediction & Preview
League One (England) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 11:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LEAGUE ONE (ENGLAND)
Wigan Athletic vs Stockport County
Model pick: Stockport County (42%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.09 – 1.29
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 46%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Wigan Athletic | Stockport County |
|---|
| League position | #24 (0 pts) | #3 (6 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.0 / 2.0 | 3.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 100% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.0 | 3.2 / 1.8 |
*Wigan Athletic shown at home, Stockport County shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Wigan Athletic — last 5
LLWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 40% of the time; 38% of home games go over 2.5.
Stockport County — last 5
LWWLW
On the road: clean sheet 29% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Wigan Athletic (home) | Stockport County (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 2.0 goals per game) | 1-0-0 in 1 (3.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 40% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 41% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 50% |
| Top scorer | – | Kyle Wootton (18) |
League One (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.61
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 49%
BTTS: 52%
Use these League One (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.09 vs 1.29):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Wigan Athletic or draw (1X) | 59% |
| Double chance — Stockport County or draw (X2) | 69% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 69% / 31% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 22% / 78% |
| Wigan Athletic clean sheet | 28% |
| Stockport County clean sheet | 34% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Stockport County is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. Despite playing away, Stockport County edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (54% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Wigan Athletic vs Stockport County — FAQ
Who will win Wigan Athletic vs Stockport County?
Our statistical model makes Stockport County the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: Wigan Athletic 30%, draw 28%, Stockport County 42%.
Will both teams score in Wigan Athletic vs Stockport County?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Wigan Athletic vs Stockport County?
Expected goals are 1.09 for Wigan Athletic and 1.29 for Stockport County — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Wigan Athletic vs Stockport County?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Wigan Athletic or draw is 59%.