Wigry Suwałki vs Swit Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Wigry Suwałki vs Swit
Model pick: Swit (48%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.07 – 0.72
Total goals: 0.8
Over 2.5: 16%
Both teams score: 18%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Wigry Suwałki | Swit |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.0 | 1.8 / 1.0 |
*Wigry Suwałki shown at home, Swit shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Wigry Suwałki — last 5
LWWDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 40% of the time; 47% of home games go over 2.5.
Swit — last 5
LDWWD
On the road: clean sheet 30% of the time; 40% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Wigry Suwałki (home) | Swit (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 40% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 44% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 40% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.23
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 59%
BTTS: 67%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.07 vs 0.72):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (45%) |
| Double chance — Wigry Suwałki or draw (1X) | 51% |
| Double chance — Swit or draw (X2) | 97% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 52% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 19% / 81% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 1% / 99% |
| Wigry Suwałki clean sheet | 49% |
| Swit clean sheet | 93% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Swit is the model's most likely outcome at
48%. Despite playing away, Swit edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (84% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Wigry Suwałki vs Swit — FAQ
Who will win Wigry Suwałki vs Swit?
Our statistical model makes Swit the most likely result at 48%. Full probabilities: Wigry Suwałki 5%, draw 47%, Swit 48%.
Will both teams score in Wigry Suwałki vs Swit?
The model gives a 18% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Wigry Suwałki vs Swit?
Expected goals are 0.07 for Wigry Suwałki and 0.72 for Swit — about 0.8 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Wigry Suwałki vs Swit?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (45%). Double chance for Wigry Suwałki or draw is 51%.