Wigry Suwałki vs Troszyn Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 14, 2026 · kickoff 17:47 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Wigry Suwałki vs Troszyn
Model pick: Wigry Suwałki (100%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 7.84 – 0.15
Total goals: 8.0
Over 2.5: 70%
Both teams score: 29%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Wigry Suwałki | Troszyn |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.0 | 1.67 / 3.0 |
*Wigry Suwałki shown at home, Troszyn shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Wigry Suwałki — last 5
WLWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 39% of the time; 48% of home games go over 2.5.
Troszyn — last 5
WLL
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Wigry Suwałki (home) | Troszyn (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 39% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 45% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 100% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.15
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 62%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (7.84 vs 0.15):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 7-0 (20%) |
| Double chance — Wigry Suwałki or draw (1X) | 100% |
| Double chance — Troszyn or draw (X2) | 0% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 100% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 93% / 7% |
| Wigry Suwałki clean sheet | 86% |
| Troszyn clean sheet | 0% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Wigry Suwałki is the model's most likely outcome at
100%. Wigry Suwałki are backed at home, where they average 1.7 goals a game. With expected goals of 8.0, this shapes as an open game (70% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Wigry Suwałki vs Troszyn — FAQ
Who will win Wigry Suwałki vs Troszyn?
Our statistical model makes Wigry Suwałki the most likely result at 100%. Full probabilities: Wigry Suwałki 100%, draw 0%, Troszyn 0%.
Will both teams score in Wigry Suwałki vs Troszyn?
The model gives a 29% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Wigry Suwałki vs Troszyn?
Expected goals are 7.84 for Wigry Suwałki and 0.15 for Troszyn — about 8.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Wigry Suwałki vs Troszyn?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 7-0 (20%). Double chance for Wigry Suwałki or draw is 100%.