Wil vs Kriens Prediction & Preview
Challenge League (Switzerland) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
CHALLENGE LEAGUE (SWITZERLAND)
Wil vs Kriens
Model pick: Wil (49%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.73 – 1.12
Total goals: 2.9
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Wil | Kriens |
|---|
| League position | #9 (3 pts) | #7 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 2.0 | 2.0 / 3.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.0 / 3.0 | 1.0 / 1.6 |
*Wil shown at home, Kriens shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Wil — last 5
WWLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 31% of the time; 52% of home games go over 2.5.
Kriens — last 5
DLWLL
On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 55% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Wil (home) | Kriens (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-1 in 1 (1.0 / 2.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (2.0 / 3.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 31% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 55% |
Challenge League (Switzerland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.04
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Challenge League (Switzerland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.73 vs 1.12):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Wil or draw (1X) | 75% |
| Double chance — Kriens or draw (X2) | 48% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 78% / 22% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 32% / 68% |
| Wil clean sheet | 33% |
| Kriens clean sheet | 18% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Wil is the model's most likely outcome at
49%. Wil are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (47% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
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❓ Wil vs Kriens — FAQ
Who will win Wil vs Kriens?
Our statistical model makes Wil the most likely result at 49%. Full probabilities: Wil 49%, draw 25%, Kriens 26%.
Will both teams score in Wil vs Kriens?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Wil vs Kriens?
Expected goals are 1.73 for Wil and 1.12 for Kriens — about 2.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Wil vs Kriens?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Wil or draw is 75%.