Wilhelmshaven vs Bersenbruck Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Wilhelmshaven vs Bersenbruck
Model pick: Draw (66%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.32 – 0.04
Total goals: 0.4
Over 2.5: 6%
Both teams score: 12%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Wilhelmshaven | Bersenbruck |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.5 / 2.5 | 1.0 / 1.0 |
*Wilhelmshaven shown at home, Bersenbruck shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Wilhelmshaven — last 5
LW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Bersenbruck — last 5
WLD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Wilhelmshaven (home) | Bersenbruck (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.43
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.32 vs 0.04):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (70%) |
| Double chance — Wilhelmshaven or draw (1X) | 97% |
| Double chance — Bersenbruck or draw (X2) | 74% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 29% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 5% / 95% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Wilhelmshaven clean sheet | 96% |
| Bersenbruck clean sheet | 73% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
66%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (94% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Wilhelmshaven vs Bersenbruck — FAQ
Who will win Wilhelmshaven vs Bersenbruck?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 66%. Full probabilities: Wilhelmshaven 29%, draw 66%, Bersenbruck 5%.
Will both teams score in Wilhelmshaven vs Bersenbruck?
The model gives a 12% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Wilhelmshaven vs Bersenbruck?
Expected goals are 0.32 for Wilhelmshaven and 0.04 for Bersenbruck — about 0.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Wilhelmshaven vs Bersenbruck?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (70%). Double chance for Wilhelmshaven or draw is 97%.