Wilhelmshaven vs Spelle-Venhaus Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Wilhelmshaven vs Spelle-Venhaus
Model pick: Wilhelmshaven (80%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.43 – 0.29
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams score: 38%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Wilhelmshaven | Spelle-Venhaus |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.33 / 1.67 | 3.67 / 2.0 |
*Wilhelmshaven shown at home, Spelle-Venhaus shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Wilhelmshaven — last 5
LWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Spelle-Venhaus — last 5
WWL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Wilhelmshaven (home) | Spelle-Venhaus (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.34
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 61%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.43 vs 0.29):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (19%) |
| Double chance — Wilhelmshaven or draw (1X) | 97% |
| Double chance — Spelle-Venhaus or draw (X2) | 15% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 88% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 75% / 25% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 29% / 71% |
| Wilhelmshaven clean sheet | 75% |
| Spelle-Venhaus clean sheet | 9% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Wilhelmshaven is the model's most likely outcome at
80%. Wilhelmshaven are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (49% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Wilhelmshaven vs Spelle-Venhaus — FAQ
Who will win Wilhelmshaven vs Spelle-Venhaus?
Our statistical model makes Wilhelmshaven the most likely result at 80%. Full probabilities: Wilhelmshaven 80%, draw 15%, Spelle-Venhaus 5%.
Will both teams score in Wilhelmshaven vs Spelle-Venhaus?
The model gives a 38% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Wilhelmshaven vs Spelle-Venhaus?
Expected goals are 2.43 for Wilhelmshaven and 0.29 for Spelle-Venhaus — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Wilhelmshaven vs Spelle-Venhaus?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (19%). Double chance for Wilhelmshaven or draw is 97%.