Wisła Kraków vs Wisła Płock Prediction & Preview
Ekstraklasa (Poland) · Aug 07, 2026 · kickoff 18:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
EKSTRAKLASA (POLAND)
Wisła Kraków vs Wisła Płock
Model pick: Wisła Kraków (44%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.41 – 1.03
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Wisła Kraków | Wisła Płock |
|---|
| League position | #8 (3 pts) | #2 (4 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 1.0 | 2.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 100% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.6 | 1.8 / 0.6 |
*Wisła Kraków shown at home, Wisła Płock shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Wisła Kraków — last 5
DLDWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 34% of the time; 53% of home games go over 2.5.
Wisła Płock — last 5
DWWWD
On the road: clean sheet 14% of the time; 59% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Wisła Kraków (home) | Wisła Płock (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (2.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 1-0-0 in 1 (2.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 34% | 14% |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 59% |
| Top scorer | Lukasz Sekulski (8) | Lukasz Sekulski (8) |
Ekstraklasa (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.66
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 53%
Use these Ekstraklasa (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.41 vs 1.03):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Wisła Kraków or draw (1X) | 72% |
| Double chance — Wisła Płock or draw (X2) | 54% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 70% / 30% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 23% / 77% |
| Wisła Kraków clean sheet | 36% |
| Wisła Płock clean sheet | 24% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Wisła Kraków is the model's most likely outcome at
44%. Wisła Kraków are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Wisła Kraków vs Wisła Płock — FAQ
Who will win Wisła Kraków vs Wisła Płock?
Our statistical model makes Wisła Kraków the most likely result at 44%. Full probabilities: Wisła Kraków 44%, draw 28%, Wisła Płock 28%.
Will both teams score in Wisła Kraków vs Wisła Płock?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Wisła Kraków vs Wisła Płock?
Expected goals are 1.41 for Wisła Kraków and 1.03 for Wisła Płock — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Wisła Kraków vs Wisła Płock?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Wisła Kraków or draw is 72%.