Wisła Płock vs Widzew Łódź Prediction & Preview
Ekstraklasa (Poland) · Jul 31, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
EKSTRAKLASA (POLAND)
Wisła Płock vs Widzew Łódź
Model pick: Wisła Płock (39%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.16 – 0.96
Total goals: 2.1
Over 2.5: 43%
Both teams score: 49%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Wisła Płock | Widzew Łódź |
|---|
| League position | #10 (0 pts) | #15 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.0 | 2.0 / 0.8 |
*Wisła Płock shown at home, Widzew Łódź shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Wisła Płock — last 5
LDDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 34% of the time; 45% of home games go over 2.5.
Widzew Łódź — last 5
WDWWW
On the road: clean sheet 22% of the time; 49% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Wisła Płock (home) | Widzew Łódź (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 34% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 48% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 49% |
| Top scorer | Lukasz Sekulski (8) | Sebastian Bergier (12) |
Ekstraklasa (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.65
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 53%
Use these Ekstraklasa (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.16 vs 0.96):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (14%) |
| Double chance — Wisła Płock or draw (1X) | 70% |
| Double chance — Widzew Łódź or draw (X2) | 60% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 63% / 37% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 17% / 83% |
| Wisła Płock clean sheet | 38% |
| Widzew Łódź clean sheet | 31% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Wisła Płock is the model's most likely outcome at
39%. Wisła Płock are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (57% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Wisła Płock vs Widzew Łódź — FAQ
Who will win Wisła Płock vs Widzew Łódź?
Our statistical model makes Wisła Płock the most likely result at 39%. Full probabilities: Wisła Płock 39%, draw 30%, Widzew Łódź 31%.
Will both teams score in Wisła Płock vs Widzew Łódź?
The model gives a 49% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Wisła Płock vs Widzew Łódź?
Expected goals are 1.16 for Wisła Płock and 0.96 for Widzew Łódź — about 2.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Wisła Płock vs Widzew Łódź?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (14%). Double chance for Wisła Płock or draw is 70%.