Wislanie Skawina vs Czarni Polaniec Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Wislanie Skawina vs Czarni Polaniec
Model pick: Wislanie Skawina (77%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.29 – 0.32
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 39%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Wislanie Skawina | Czarni Polaniec |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 0.8 | 1.6 / 1.6 |
*Wislanie Skawina shown at home, Czarni Polaniec shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Wislanie Skawina — last 5
WWWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Czarni Polaniec — last 5
WWLLW
On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 40% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Wislanie Skawina (home) | Czarni Polaniec (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 40% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.24
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 65%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.29 vs 0.32):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (19%) |
| Double chance — Wislanie Skawina or draw (1X) | 96% |
| Double chance — Czarni Polaniec or draw (X2) | 18% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 86% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 73% / 27% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 27% / 73% |
| Wislanie Skawina clean sheet | 73% |
| Czarni Polaniec clean sheet | 10% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Wislanie Skawina is the model's most likely outcome at
77%. Wislanie Skawina are backed at home, where they average 3.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Wislanie Skawina vs Czarni Polaniec — FAQ
Who will win Wislanie Skawina vs Czarni Polaniec?
Our statistical model makes Wislanie Skawina the most likely result at 77%. Full probabilities: Wislanie Skawina 77%, draw 17%, Czarni Polaniec 6%.
Will both teams score in Wislanie Skawina vs Czarni Polaniec?
The model gives a 39% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Wislanie Skawina vs Czarni Polaniec?
Expected goals are 2.29 for Wislanie Skawina and 0.32 for Czarni Polaniec — about 2.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Wislanie Skawina vs Czarni Polaniec?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (19%). Double chance for Wislanie Skawina or draw is 96%.