Wisloka Debica vs Biala Podlaska Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Sep 04, 2026 · kickoff 17:08 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Wisloka Debica vs Biala Podlaska
Model pick: Wisloka Debica (37%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.06 – 0.93
Total goals: 2.0
Over 2.5: 40%
Both teams score: 47%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Wisloka Debica | Biala Podlaska |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.6 | 1.0 / 0.8 |
*Wisloka Debica shown at home, Biala Podlaska shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Wisloka Debica — last 5
DWWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 62% of home games go over 2.5.
Biala Podlaska — last 5
DWWLD
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Wisloka Debica (home) | Biala Podlaska (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 62% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 0% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.22
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 62%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.06 vs 0.93):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (14%) |
| Double chance — Wisloka Debica or draw (1X) | 69% |
| Double chance — Biala Podlaska or draw (X2) | 62% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 69% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 59% / 41% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 14% / 86% |
| Wisloka Debica clean sheet | 39% |
| Biala Podlaska clean sheet | 35% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Wisloka Debica is the model's most likely outcome at
37%. Wisloka Debica are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (60% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Wisloka Debica vs Biala Podlaska — FAQ
Who will win Wisloka Debica vs Biala Podlaska?
Our statistical model makes Wisloka Debica the most likely result at 37%. Full probabilities: Wisloka Debica 37%, draw 31%, Biala Podlaska 32%.
Will both teams score in Wisloka Debica vs Biala Podlaska?
The model gives a 47% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Wisloka Debica vs Biala Podlaska?
Expected goals are 1.06 for Wisloka Debica and 0.93 for Biala Podlaska — about 2.0 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Wisloka Debica vs Biala Podlaska?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (14%). Double chance for Wisloka Debica or draw is 69%.