Wismar vs Makkabi Berlin Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Wismar vs Makkabi Berlin
Model pick: Wismar (55%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.98 – 0.15
Total goals: 1.1
Over 2.5: 24%
Both teams score: 27%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Wismar | Makkabi Berlin |
|---|
| League position | #1 (6 pts) | #14 (1 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 0.0 | 1.0 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.25 / 3.0 | 0.5 / 1.0 |
*Wismar shown at home, Makkabi Berlin shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Wismar — last 5
LLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Makkabi Berlin — last 5
LD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Wismar (home) | Makkabi Berlin (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (1.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (1.0 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.54
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 66%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.98 vs 0.15):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (32%) |
| Double chance — Wismar or draw (1X) | 94% |
| Double chance — Makkabi Berlin or draw (X2) | 43% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 63% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 31% / 69% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 3% / 97% |
| Wismar clean sheet | 86% |
| Makkabi Berlin clean sheet | 38% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Wismar is the model's most likely outcome at
55%. Wismar are backed at home, where they average 0.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (76% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Wismar vs Makkabi Berlin — FAQ
Who will win Wismar vs Makkabi Berlin?
Our statistical model makes Wismar the most likely result at 55%. Full probabilities: Wismar 55%, draw 38%, Makkabi Berlin 8%.
Will both teams score in Wismar vs Makkabi Berlin?
The model gives a 27% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Wismar vs Makkabi Berlin?
Expected goals are 0.98 for Wismar and 0.15 for Makkabi Berlin — about 1.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Wismar vs Makkabi Berlin?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (32%). Double chance for Wismar or draw is 94%.