Świt Skolwin vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz Prediction & Preview
II Liga (Poland) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
II LIGA (POLAND)
Świt Skolwin vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Model pick: Sandecja Nowy Sącz (42%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.4 – 1.66
Total goals: 3.1
Over 2.5: 56%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Świt Skolwin | Sandecja Nowy Sącz |
|---|
| League position | #18 (0 pts) | #8 (4 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 3.0 | 0.0 / 3.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 3.4 | 1.2 / 0.6 |
*Świt Skolwin shown at home, Sandecja Nowy Sącz shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Świt Skolwin — last 5
LLLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 16% of the time; 68% of home games go over 2.5.
Sandecja Nowy Sącz — last 5
DDWWL
On the road: clean sheet 15% of the time; 56% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Świt Skolwin (home) | Sandecja Nowy Sącz (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-1 in 1 (2.0 / 3.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 3.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 16% | 15% |
| Both teams scored | 68% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% | 56% |
II Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.75
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 54%
Use these II Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.4 vs 1.66):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Świt Skolwin or draw (1X) | 56% |
| Double chance — Sandecja Nowy Sącz or draw (X2) | 68% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 81% / 19% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 37% / 63% |
| Świt Skolwin clean sheet | 19% |
| Sandecja Nowy Sącz clean sheet | 25% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Sandecja Nowy Sącz is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. Despite playing away, Sandecja Nowy Sącz edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.1, this shapes as an open game (56% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Świt Skolwin vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz — FAQ
Who will win Świt Skolwin vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz?
Our statistical model makes Sandecja Nowy Sącz the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: Świt Skolwin 33%, draw 25%, Sandecja Nowy Sącz 42%.
Will both teams score in Świt Skolwin vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Świt Skolwin vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz?
Expected goals are 1.4 for Świt Skolwin and 1.66 for Sandecja Nowy Sącz — about 3.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Świt Skolwin vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Świt Skolwin or draw is 56%.