Świt Skolwin vs Tychy Prediction & Preview
II Liga (Poland) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
II LIGA (POLAND)
Świt Skolwin vs Tychy
Model pick: Tychy (62%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.84 – 2.14
Total goals: 3.0
Over 2.5: 55%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Świt Skolwin | Tychy |
|---|
| League position | #18 (1 pts) | #2 (11 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 2.0 | 1.7 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 67% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 3.0 | 1.8 / 0.8 |
*Świt Skolwin shown at home, Tychy shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Świt Skolwin — last 5
LLLLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 16% of the time; 66% of home games go over 2.5.
Tychy — last 5
WWDDW
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Świt Skolwin (home) | Tychy (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-2 in 2 (1.0 / 2.0 goals per game) | 2-1-0 in 3 (1.7 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 16% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 66% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 50% |
II Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.75
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 54%
Use these II Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.84 vs 2.14):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-2 (12%) |
| Double chance — Świt Skolwin or draw (1X) | 33% |
| Double chance — Tychy or draw (X2) | 86% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 81% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 80% / 20% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 35% / 65% |
| Świt Skolwin clean sheet | 12% |
| Tychy clean sheet | 43% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Tychy is the model's most likely outcome at
62%. Despite playing away, Tychy edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.0, this shapes as an open game (55% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Świt Skolwin vs Tychy — FAQ
Who will win Świt Skolwin vs Tychy?
Our statistical model makes Tychy the most likely result at 62%. Full probabilities: Świt Skolwin 16%, draw 22%, Tychy 62%.
Will both teams score in Świt Skolwin vs Tychy?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Świt Skolwin vs Tychy?
Expected goals are 0.84 for Świt Skolwin and 2.14 for Tychy — about 3.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Świt Skolwin vs Tychy?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-2 (12%). Double chance for Świt Skolwin or draw is 33%.