Wohlen vs Muri-Gumligen Prediction & Preview
1 Liga Classic (Switzerland) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 14:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
1 LIGA CLASSIC (SWITZERLAND)
Wohlen vs Muri-Gumligen
Model pick: Draw (52%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.04 – 0.62
Total goals: 0.7
Over 2.5: 13%
Both teams score: 14%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Wohlen | Muri-Gumligen |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 2.8 | 1.6 / 0.2 |
*Wohlen shown at home, Muri-Gumligen shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Wohlen — last 5
LLLDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 16% of the time; 68% of home games go over 2.5.
Muri-Gumligen — last 5
WWWDW
On the road: clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Wohlen (home) | Muri-Gumligen (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 16% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 65% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% | 0% |
1 Liga Classic (Switzerland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.03
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 67%
BTTS: 73%
Use these 1 Liga Classic (Switzerland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.04 vs 0.62):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (52%) |
| Double chance — Wohlen or draw (1X) | 55% |
| Double chance — Muri-Gumligen or draw (X2) | 98% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 47% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 14% / 86% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Wohlen clean sheet | 54% |
| Muri-Gumligen clean sheet | 96% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
52%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (87% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Wohlen vs Muri-Gumligen — FAQ
Who will win Wohlen vs Muri-Gumligen?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 52%. Full probabilities: Wohlen 3%, draw 52%, Muri-Gumligen 45%.
Will both teams score in Wohlen vs Muri-Gumligen?
The model gives a 14% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Wohlen vs Muri-Gumligen?
Expected goals are 0.04 for Wohlen and 0.62 for Muri-Gumligen — about 0.7 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Wohlen vs Muri-Gumligen?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (52%). Double chance for Wohlen or draw is 55%.