Worcester vs Stamford Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Worcester vs Stamford
Model pick: Worcester (56%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.95 – 0.07
Total goals: 1.0
Over 2.5: 21%
Both teams score: 20%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Worcester | Stamford |
|---|
| League position | #17 (1 pts) | #22 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 0.0 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 1.2 | 0.33 / 1.67 |
*Worcester shown at home, Stamford shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Worcester — last 5
DLWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Stamford — last 5
LLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Worcester (home) | Stamford (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.69
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 53%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.95 vs 0.07):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (36%) |
| Double chance — Worcester or draw (1X) | 97% |
| Double chance — Stamford or draw (X2) | 41% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 62% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 27% / 73% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 2% / 98% |
| Worcester clean sheet | 93% |
| Stamford clean sheet | 39% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Worcester is the model's most likely outcome at
56%. Worcester are backed at home, where they average 0.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (79% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Worcester vs Stamford — FAQ
Who will win Worcester vs Stamford?
Our statistical model makes Worcester the most likely result at 56%. Full probabilities: Worcester 56%, draw 39%, Stamford 4%.
Will both teams score in Worcester vs Stamford?
The model gives a 20% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Worcester vs Stamford?
Expected goals are 0.95 for Worcester and 0.07 for Stamford — about 1.0 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Worcester vs Stamford?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (36%). Double chance for Worcester or draw is 97%.