Workington vs Warrington Rylands Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 25, 2026 · kickoff 18:45 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Workington vs Warrington Rylands
Model pick: Draw (49%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.35 – 0.47
Total goals: 0.8
Over 2.5: 17%
Both teams score: 29%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Workington | Warrington Rylands |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 2.2 | 1.2 / 0.4 |
*Workington shown at home, Warrington Rylands shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Workington — last 5
LLLDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Warrington Rylands — last 5
WWLLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 25% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Workington (home) | Warrington Rylands (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 25% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.74
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 54%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.35 vs 0.47):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (44%) |
| Double chance — Workington or draw (1X) | 72% |
| Double chance — Warrington Rylands or draw (X2) | 80% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 48% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 20% / 80% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 1% / 99% |
| Workington clean sheet | 63% |
| Warrington Rylands clean sheet | 70% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
49%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (83% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Workington vs Warrington Rylands — FAQ
Who will win Workington vs Warrington Rylands?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 49%. Full probabilities: Workington 22%, draw 49%, Warrington Rylands 30%.
Will both teams score in Workington vs Warrington Rylands?
The model gives a 29% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Workington vs Warrington Rylands?
Expected goals are 0.35 for Workington and 0.47 for Warrington Rylands — about 0.8 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Workington vs Warrington Rylands?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (44%). Double chance for Workington or draw is 72%.