Worksop vs AFC Telford United Prediction & Preview
National League N/S (England) ยท Aug 15, 2026 ยท kickoff 14:00 UTC ยท model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NATIONAL LEAGUE N/S (ENGLAND)
Worksop vs AFC Telford United
Model pick: Worksop (40%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
๐ Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.66 โ 1.55
Total goals: 3.2
Over 2.5: 58%
Both teams score: 59%
โ๏ธ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Worksop | AFC Telford United |
| League position | #14 (0 pts) | #7 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.8 / 1.0 | 0.6 / 2.0 |
*Worksop shown at home, AFC Telford United shown away โ the split that matters for this fixture.
๐ฅ Recent Form
Worksop โ last 5
WWWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 31% of the time; 58% of home games go over 2.5.
AFC Telford United โ last 5
LLWLL
On the road: clean sheet 14% of the time; 56% of away games go over 2.5.
๐ Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Worksop (home) | AFC Telford United (away) |
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 31% | 14% |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 56% |
National League N/S (England) โ league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.79
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 54%
Use these National League N/S (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
๐ฒ More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.66 vs 1.55):
| Market | Model probability |
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance โ Worksop or draw (1X) | 64% |
| Double chance โ AFC Telford United or draw (X2) | 59% |
| Double chance โ either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 83% / 17% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 40% / 60% |
| Worksop clean sheet | 21% |
| AFC Telford United clean sheet | 19% |
๐ฏ Our Verdict
Worksop is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Worksop are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.2, this shapes as an open game (58% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees โ football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game โ goalsoon.com
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โ Worksop vs AFC Telford United โ FAQ
Who will win Worksop vs AFC Telford United?
Our statistical model makes Worksop the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Worksop 40%, draw 25%, AFC Telford United 36%.
Will both teams score in Worksop vs AFC Telford United?
The model gives a 59% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Worksop vs AFC Telford United?
Expected goals are 1.66 for Worksop and 1.55 for AFC Telford United โ about 3.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Worksop vs AFC Telford United?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Worksop or draw is 64%.