Worksop vs Bedford Prediction & Preview
National League N/S (England) · Sep 08, 2026 · kickoff 18:45 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NATIONAL LEAGUE N/S (ENGLAND)
Worksop vs Bedford
Model pick: Worksop (42%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.71 – 1.47
Total goals: 3.2
Over 2.5: 57%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Worksop | Bedford |
|---|
| League position | #14 (0 pts) | #15 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 1.8 | 1.8 / 1.8 |
*Worksop shown at home, Bedford shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Worksop — last 5
WLLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 28% of the time; 59% of home games go over 2.5.
Bedford — last 5
LWLWW
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 59% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Worksop (home) | Bedford (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 28% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 59% |
National League N/S (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.79
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 54%
Use these National League N/S (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.71 vs 1.47):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Worksop or draw (1X) | 67% |
| Double chance — Bedford or draw (X2) | 57% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 83% / 17% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 39% / 61% |
| Worksop clean sheet | 23% |
| Bedford clean sheet | 18% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Worksop is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. Worksop are backed at home, where they average 1.8 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.2, this shapes as an open game (57% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Worksop vs Bedford — FAQ
Who will win Worksop vs Bedford?
Our statistical model makes Worksop the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: Worksop 42%, draw 25%, Bedford 33%.
Will both teams score in Worksop vs Bedford?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Worksop vs Bedford?
Expected goals are 1.71 for Worksop and 1.47 for Bedford — about 3.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Worksop vs Bedford?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Worksop or draw is 67%.