Worms vs Auersmacher Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Worms vs Auersmacher
Model pick: Worms (87%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.76 – 0.17
Total goals: 2.9
Over 2.5: 54%
Both teams score: 32%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Worms | Auersmacher |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.6 / 3.0 | 1.0 / 2.33 |
*Worms shown at home, Auersmacher shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Worms — last 5
LLWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Auersmacher — last 5
LLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Worms (home) | Auersmacher (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.43
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.76 vs 0.17):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (20%) |
| Double chance — Worms or draw (1X) | 99% |
| Double chance — Auersmacher or draw (X2) | 9% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 92% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 79% / 21% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 34% / 66% |
| Worms clean sheet | 84% |
| Auersmacher clean sheet | 6% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Worms is the model's most likely outcome at
87%. Worms are backed at home, where they average 3.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (46% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Worms vs Auersmacher — FAQ
Who will win Worms vs Auersmacher?
Our statistical model makes Worms the most likely result at 87%. Full probabilities: Worms 87%, draw 11%, Auersmacher 2%.
Will both teams score in Worms vs Auersmacher?
The model gives a 32% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Worms vs Auersmacher?
Expected goals are 2.76 for Worms and 0.17 for Auersmacher — about 2.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Worms vs Auersmacher?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (20%). Double chance for Worms or draw is 99%.