Worms vs Pirmasens Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Worms vs Pirmasens
Model pick: Worms (40%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.63 – 2.61
Total goals: 5.2
Over 2.5: 77%
Both teams score: 72%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Worms | Pirmasens |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.0 / 4.25 | 3.0 / 1.5 |
*Worms shown at home, Pirmasens shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Worms — last 5
DLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Pirmasens — last 5
LW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Worms (home) | Pirmasens (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.32
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 39%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 59%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.63 vs 2.61):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-2 (6%) |
| Double chance — Worms or draw (1X) | 59% |
| Double chance — Pirmasens or draw (X2) | 59% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 82% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 97% / 3% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 77% / 23% |
| Worms clean sheet | 7% |
| Pirmasens clean sheet | 7% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Worms is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Worms are backed at home, where they average 3.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 5.2, this shapes as an open game (77% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Worms vs Pirmasens — FAQ
Who will win Worms vs Pirmasens?
Our statistical model makes Worms the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Worms 40%, draw 20%, Pirmasens 40%.
Will both teams score in Worms vs Pirmasens?
The model gives a 72% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Worms vs Pirmasens?
Expected goals are 2.63 for Worms and 2.61 for Pirmasens — about 5.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Worms vs Pirmasens?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-2 (6%). Double chance for Worms or draw is 59%.