Worms vs RW Wittlich Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Worms vs RW Wittlich
Model pick: RW Wittlich (44%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.69 – 2.98
Total goals: 5.7
Over 2.5: 80%
Both teams score: 74%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Worms | RW Wittlich |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 2.0 | 2.75 / 1.75 |
*Worms shown at home, RW Wittlich shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Worms — last 5
WWLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
RW Wittlich — last 5
WWLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Worms (home) | RW Wittlich (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.61
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 38%
Over 2.5: 68%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.69 vs 2.98):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-2 (6%) |
| Double chance — Worms or draw (1X) | 54% |
| Double chance — RW Wittlich or draw (X2) | 63% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 83% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 98% / 2% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 82% / 18% |
| Worms clean sheet | 5% |
| RW Wittlich clean sheet | 7% |
🎯 Our Verdict
RW Wittlich is the model's most likely outcome at
44%. Despite playing away, RW Wittlich edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 5.7, this shapes as an open game (80% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Worms vs RW Wittlich — FAQ
Who will win Worms vs RW Wittlich?
Our statistical model makes RW Wittlich the most likely result at 44%. Full probabilities: Worms 37%, draw 19%, RW Wittlich 44%.
Will both teams score in Worms vs RW Wittlich?
The model gives a 74% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Worms vs RW Wittlich?
Expected goals are 2.69 for Worms and 2.98 for RW Wittlich — about 5.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Worms vs RW Wittlich?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-2 (6%). Double chance for Worms or draw is 54%.