Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao West Coast Prediction & Preview
Super League (China) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LEAGUE (CHINA)
Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao West Coast
Model pick: Wuhan Three Towns (47%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.61 – 1.11
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Wuhan Three Towns | Qingdao West Coast |
|---|
| League position | #15 (19 pts) | #3 (37 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.4 / 1.2 | 1.0 / 1.8 |
| Win rate this season* | 36% | 25% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.0 | 1.0 / 0.2 |
*Wuhan Three Towns shown at home, Qingdao West Coast shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Wuhan Three Towns — last 5
WDLDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 31% of the time; 57% of home games go over 2.5.
Qingdao West Coast — last 5
WDDWD
On the road: clean sheet 17% of the time; 57% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Wuhan Three Towns (home) | Qingdao West Coast (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 4-3-4 in 11 (1.4 / 1.2 goals per game) | 3-5-4 in 12 (1.0 / 1.8 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 31% | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 54% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 57% |
| Top scorer | Jhonder Cadiz (13) | Nelson Da Luz (8) |
Super League (China) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.95
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Super League (China) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.61 vs 1.11):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Wuhan Three Towns or draw (1X) | 74% |
| Double chance — Qingdao West Coast or draw (X2) | 51% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 75% / 25% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 29% / 71% |
| Wuhan Three Towns clean sheet | 33% |
| Qingdao West Coast clean sheet | 20% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Wuhan Three Towns is the model's most likely outcome at
47%. Wuhan Three Towns are backed at home, where they average 1.8 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (49% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao West Coast — FAQ
Who will win Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao West Coast?
Our statistical model makes Wuhan Three Towns the most likely result at 47%. Full probabilities: Wuhan Three Towns 47%, draw 26%, Qingdao West Coast 27%.
Will both teams score in Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao West Coast?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao West Coast?
Expected goals are 1.61 for Wuhan Three Towns and 1.11 for Qingdao West Coast — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao West Coast?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Wuhan Three Towns or draw is 74%.