Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai SIPG Prediction & Preview
Super League (China) · Aug 14, 2026 · kickoff 11:35 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LEAGUE (CHINA)
Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai SIPG
Model pick: Shanghai SIPG (48%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.3 – 1.87
Total goals: 3.2
Over 2.5: 57%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Wuhan Three Towns | Shanghai SIPG |
|---|
| League position | #15 (15 pts) | #13 (19 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.4 / 1.1 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
| Win rate this season* | 44% | 20% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
*Wuhan Three Towns shown at home, Shanghai SIPG shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Wuhan Three Towns — last 5
LWDWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 31% of the time; 57% of home games go over 2.5.
Shanghai SIPG — last 5
LDDWL
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 58% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Wuhan Three Towns (home) | Shanghai SIPG (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 4-2-3 in 9 (1.4 / 1.1 goals per game) | 2-3-5 in 10 (1.2 / 1.6 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 31% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 54% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 58% |
| Top scorer | Jhonder Cadiz (13) | – |
Super League (China) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.94
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Super League (China) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.3 vs 1.87):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Wuhan Three Towns or draw (1X) | 49% |
| Double chance — Shanghai SIPG or draw (X2) | 73% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 82% / 18% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 39% / 61% |
| Wuhan Three Towns clean sheet | 15% |
| Shanghai SIPG clean sheet | 27% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Shanghai SIPG is the model's most likely outcome at
48%. Despite playing away, Shanghai SIPG edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.2, this shapes as an open game (57% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
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❓ Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai SIPG — FAQ
Who will win Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai SIPG?
Our statistical model makes Shanghai SIPG the most likely result at 48%. Full probabilities: Wuhan Three Towns 28%, draw 24%, Shanghai SIPG 48%.
Will both teams score in Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai SIPG?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai SIPG?
Expected goals are 1.3 for Wuhan Three Towns and 1.87 for Shanghai SIPG — about 3.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai SIPG?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Wuhan Three Towns or draw is 49%.