Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Teda Prediction & Preview
Super League (China) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LEAGUE (CHINA)
Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Teda
Model pick: Wuhan Three Towns (43%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.6 – 1.18
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 57%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Wuhan Three Towns | Tianjin Teda |
|---|
| League position | #15 (15 pts) | #14 (17 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 1.3 | 1.4 / 1.1 |
| Win rate this season* | 40% | 36% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.2 | 2.0 / 1.6 |
*Wuhan Three Towns shown at home, Tianjin Teda shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Wuhan Three Towns — last 5
WDWDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 30% of the time; 58% of home games go over 2.5.
Tianjin Teda — last 5
WWWLL
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Wuhan Three Towns (home) | Tianjin Teda (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 4-2-4 in 10 (1.5 / 1.3 goals per game) | 4-3-4 in 11 (1.4 / 1.1 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 30% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 50% |
| Top scorer | Jhonder Cadiz (13) | Alberto Quiles (7) |
Super League (China) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.95
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Super League (China) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.6 vs 1.18):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Wuhan Three Towns or draw (1X) | 72% |
| Double chance — Tianjin Teda or draw (X2) | 53% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 77% / 23% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 30% / 70% |
| Wuhan Three Towns clean sheet | 31% |
| Tianjin Teda clean sheet | 20% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Wuhan Three Towns is the model's most likely outcome at
43%. Wuhan Three Towns are backed at home, where they average 1.8 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Teda — FAQ
Who will win Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Teda?
Our statistical model makes Wuhan Three Towns the most likely result at 43%. Full probabilities: Wuhan Three Towns 43%, draw 27%, Tianjin Teda 30%.
Will both teams score in Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Teda?
The model gives a 57% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Teda?
Expected goals are 1.6 for Wuhan Three Towns and 1.18 for Tianjin Teda — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Teda?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Wuhan Three Towns or draw is 72%.