Yambol 1915 vs Rodopa Smolyan Prediction & Preview
V AFG (Bulgaria) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
V AFG (BULGARIA)
Yambol 1915 vs Rodopa Smolyan
Model pick: Yambol 1915 (56%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.84 – 0.88
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Yambol 1915 | Rodopa Smolyan |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.67 / 1.33 | 2.0 / 1.0 |
*Yambol 1915 shown at home, Rodopa Smolyan shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Yambol 1915 — last 5
DWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Rodopa Smolyan — last 5
WWL
On the road: clean sheet 100% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Yambol 1915 (home) | Rodopa Smolyan (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
V AFG (Bulgaria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.08
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 60%
Use these V AFG (Bulgaria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.84 vs 0.88):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (12%) |
| Double chance — Yambol 1915 or draw (1X) | 82% |
| Double chance — Rodopa Smolyan or draw (X2) | 40% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 75% / 25% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 29% / 71% |
| Yambol 1915 clean sheet | 41% |
| Rodopa Smolyan clean sheet | 16% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Yambol 1915 is the model's most likely outcome at
56%. Yambol 1915 are backed at home, where they average 3.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (49% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Yambol 1915 vs Rodopa Smolyan — FAQ
Who will win Yambol 1915 vs Rodopa Smolyan?
Our statistical model makes Yambol 1915 the most likely result at 56%. Full probabilities: Yambol 1915 56%, draw 24%, Rodopa Smolyan 20%.
Will both teams score in Yambol 1915 vs Rodopa Smolyan?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Yambol 1915 vs Rodopa Smolyan?
Expected goals are 1.84 for Yambol 1915 and 0.88 for Rodopa Smolyan — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Yambol 1915 vs Rodopa Smolyan?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (12%). Double chance for Yambol 1915 or draw is 82%.