Ynyshir Albions vs Pontypridd Prediction & Preview
Feeder Leagues (Wales) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 13:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FEEDER LEAGUES (WALES)
Ynyshir Albions vs Pontypridd
Model pick: Pontypridd (56%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.94 – 1.89
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Ynyshir Albions | Pontypridd |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 0.75 | 3.2 / 2.0 |
*Ynyshir Albions shown at home, Pontypridd shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Ynyshir Albions — last 5
WDLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Pontypridd — last 5
WWWWD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Ynyshir Albions (home) | Pontypridd (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
Feeder Leagues (Wales) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.53
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 16%
Away wins: 38%
Over 2.5: 74%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Feeder Leagues (Wales) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.94 vs 1.89):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Ynyshir Albions or draw (1X) | 40% |
| Double chance — Pontypridd or draw (X2) | 82% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 77% / 23% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 31% / 69% |
| Ynyshir Albions clean sheet | 15% |
| Pontypridd clean sheet | 39% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Pontypridd is the model's most likely outcome at
56%. Despite playing away, Pontypridd edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (47% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Ynyshir Albions vs Pontypridd — FAQ
Who will win Ynyshir Albions vs Pontypridd?
Our statistical model makes Pontypridd the most likely result at 56%. Full probabilities: Ynyshir Albions 20%, draw 24%, Pontypridd 56%.
Will both teams score in Ynyshir Albions vs Pontypridd?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Ynyshir Albions vs Pontypridd?
Expected goals are 0.94 for Ynyshir Albions and 1.89 for Pontypridd — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Ynyshir Albions vs Pontypridd?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (11%). Double chance for Ynyshir Albions or draw is 40%.