Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Yingbo Prediction & Preview
Super League (China) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LEAGUE (CHINA)
Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Yingbo
Model pick: Yunnan Yukun (46%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.8 – 1.28
Total goals: 3.1
Over 2.5: 56%
Both teams score: 64%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Yunnan Yukun | Dalian Yingbo |
|---|
| League position | #4 (31 pts) | #3 (32 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.1 / 1.6 | 1.2 / 2.2 |
| Win rate this season* | 55% | 20% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.4 / 2.2 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
*Yunnan Yukun shown at home, Dalian Yingbo shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Yunnan Yukun — last 5
DDWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 55% of home games go over 2.5.
Dalian Yingbo — last 5
WDLDW
On the road: clean sheet 6% of the time; 44% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Yunnan Yukun (home) | Dalian Yingbo (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 6-2-3 in 11 (2.1 / 1.6 goals per game) | 2-2-6 in 10 (1.2 / 2.2 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 6% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 44% |
| Top scorer | Oscar Taty Maritu (14) | Cephas Malele (8) |
Super League (China) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.94
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Super League (China) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.8 vs 1.28):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Yunnan Yukun or draw (1X) | 73% |
| Double chance — Dalian Yingbo or draw (X2) | 50% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 81% / 19% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 37% / 63% |
| Yunnan Yukun clean sheet | 28% |
| Dalian Yingbo clean sheet | 17% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Yunnan Yukun is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Yunnan Yukun are backed at home, where they average 1.9 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.1, this shapes as an open game (56% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Yingbo — FAQ
Who will win Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Yingbo?
Our statistical model makes Yunnan Yukun the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Yunnan Yukun 46%, draw 25%, Dalian Yingbo 30%.
Will both teams score in Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Yingbo?
The model gives a 64% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Yingbo?
Expected goals are 1.8 for Yunnan Yukun and 1.28 for Dalian Yingbo — about 3.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Yingbo?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Yunnan Yukun or draw is 73%.