Yupanqui vs Atlas Prediction & Preview
Primera C Metro (Argentina) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 20:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PRIMERA C METRO (ARGENTINA)
Yupanqui vs Atlas
Model pick: Atlas (39%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.29 – 1.44
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Yupanqui | Atlas |
|---|
| League position | #4 (32 pts) | #9 (29 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.2 / 1.0 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Win rate this season* | 25% | 27% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.2 | 0.6 / 1.2 |
*Yupanqui shown at home, Atlas shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Yupanqui — last 5
DDLWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
Atlas — last 5
LDLLW
On the road: clean sheet 67% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Yupanqui (home) | Atlas (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 3-5-4 in 12 (1.2 / 1.0 goals per game) | 3-4-4 in 11 (0.6 / 0.7 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 0% |
Primera C Metro (Argentina) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 1.85
Home wins: 34%
Draws: 34%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 28%
BTTS: 35%
Use these Primera C Metro (Argentina) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.29 vs 1.44):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Yupanqui or draw (1X) | 59% |
| Double chance — Atlas or draw (X2) | 66% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 76% / 24% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 29% / 71% |
| Yupanqui clean sheet | 24% |
| Atlas clean sheet | 28% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Atlas is the model's most likely outcome at
39%. Despite playing away, Atlas edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (49% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Yupanqui vs Atlas — FAQ
Who will win Yupanqui vs Atlas?
Our statistical model makes Atlas the most likely result at 39%. Full probabilities: Yupanqui 34%, draw 27%, Atlas 39%.
Will both teams score in Yupanqui vs Atlas?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Yupanqui vs Atlas?
Expected goals are 1.29 for Yupanqui and 1.44 for Atlas — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Yupanqui vs Atlas?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Yupanqui or draw is 59%.