Yverdon Sport vs Etoile Carouge Prediction & Preview
Challenge League (Switzerland) · Jul 31, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
CHALLENGE LEAGUE (SWITZERLAND)
Yverdon Sport vs Etoile Carouge
Model pick: Yverdon Sport (52%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.88 – 1.19
Total goals: 3.1
Over 2.5: 56%
Both teams score: 60%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Yverdon Sport | Etoile Carouge |
|---|
| League position | #6 (1 pts) | #1 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.6 | 1.0 / 1.6 |
*Yverdon Sport shown at home, Etoile Carouge shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Yverdon Sport — last 5
DWLLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 32% of the time; 60% of home games go over 2.5.
Etoile Carouge — last 5
LLWLW
On the road: clean sheet 21% of the time; 64% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Yverdon Sport (home) | Etoile Carouge (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 32% | 21% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 64% |
Challenge League (Switzerland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.04
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 59%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Challenge League (Switzerland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.88 vs 1.19):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Yverdon Sport or draw (1X) | 76% |
| Double chance — Etoile Carouge or draw (X2) | 47% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 81% / 19% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 37% / 63% |
| Yverdon Sport clean sheet | 30% |
| Etoile Carouge clean sheet | 15% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Yverdon Sport is the model's most likely outcome at
52%. Yverdon Sport are backed at home, where they average 1.7 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.1, this shapes as an open game (56% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Yverdon Sport vs Etoile Carouge — FAQ
Who will win Yverdon Sport vs Etoile Carouge?
Our statistical model makes Yverdon Sport the most likely result at 52%. Full probabilities: Yverdon Sport 52%, draw 24%, Etoile Carouge 24%.
Will both teams score in Yverdon Sport vs Etoile Carouge?
The model gives a 60% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Yverdon Sport vs Etoile Carouge?
Expected goals are 1.88 for Yverdon Sport and 1.19 for Etoile Carouge — about 3.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Yverdon Sport vs Etoile Carouge?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Yverdon Sport or draw is 76%.