Yverdon Sport vs Stade Nyonnais Prediction & Preview
Challenge League (Switzerland) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
CHALLENGE LEAGUE (SWITZERLAND)
Yverdon Sport vs Stade Nyonnais
Model pick: Yverdon Sport (66%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.3 – 0.79
Total goals: 3.1
Over 2.5: 56%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Yverdon Sport | Stade Nyonnais |
|---|
| League position | #3 (9 pts) | #10 (1 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.3 / 1.0 | 0.3 / 2.3 |
| Win rate this season* | 33% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 0.6 | 1.0 / 1.6 |
*Yverdon Sport shown at home, Stade Nyonnais shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Yverdon Sport — last 5
DWWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 31% of the time; 60% of home games go over 2.5.
Stade Nyonnais — last 5
LLWDL
On the road: clean sheet 17% of the time; 47% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Yverdon Sport (home) | Stade Nyonnais (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-2-0 in 3 (1.3 / 1.0 goals per game) | 0-0-3 in 3 (0.3 / 2.3 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 31% | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 47% |
Challenge League (Switzerland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.03
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Challenge League (Switzerland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.3 vs 0.79):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (12%) |
| Double chance — Yverdon Sport or draw (1X) | 89% |
| Double chance — Stade Nyonnais or draw (X2) | 29% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 83% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 81% / 19% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 37% / 63% |
| Yverdon Sport clean sheet | 45% |
| Stade Nyonnais clean sheet | 10% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Yverdon Sport is the model's most likely outcome at
66%. Yverdon Sport are backed at home, where they average 1.7 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.1, this shapes as an open game (56% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Yverdon Sport vs Stade Nyonnais — FAQ
Who will win Yverdon Sport vs Stade Nyonnais?
Our statistical model makes Yverdon Sport the most likely result at 66%. Full probabilities: Yverdon Sport 66%, draw 20%, Stade Nyonnais 14%.
Will both teams score in Yverdon Sport vs Stade Nyonnais?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Yverdon Sport vs Stade Nyonnais?
Expected goals are 2.3 for Yverdon Sport and 0.79 for Stade Nyonnais — about 3.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Yverdon Sport vs Stade Nyonnais?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (12%). Double chance for Yverdon Sport or draw is 89%.