Yverdon Sport vs Wil Prediction & Preview
Challenge League (Switzerland) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
CHALLENGE LEAGUE (SWITZERLAND)
Yverdon Sport vs Wil
Model pick: Yverdon Sport (57%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.2 – 1.15
Total goals: 3.4
Over 2.5: 59%
Both teams score: 57%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Yverdon Sport | Wil |
|---|
| League position | #5 (5 pts) | #9 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 1.0 | 2.5 / 4.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 50% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.2 | 2.4 / 3.0 |
*Yverdon Sport shown at home, Wil shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Yverdon Sport — last 5
LDDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 32% of the time; 60% of home games go over 2.5.
Wil — last 5
WLLWL
On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 60% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Yverdon Sport (home) | Wil (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-0 in 1 (1.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 1-0-1 in 2 (2.5 / 4.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 32% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
Challenge League (Switzerland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.03
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Challenge League (Switzerland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.2 vs 1.15):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Yverdon Sport or draw (1X) | 81% |
| Double chance — Wil or draw (X2) | 39% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 80% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 85% / 15% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 43% / 57% |
| Yverdon Sport clean sheet | 32% |
| Wil clean sheet | 11% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Yverdon Sport is the model's most likely outcome at
57%. Yverdon Sport are backed at home, where they average 1.7 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.4, this shapes as an open game (59% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Yverdon Sport vs Wil — FAQ
Who will win Yverdon Sport vs Wil?
Our statistical model makes Yverdon Sport the most likely result at 57%. Full probabilities: Yverdon Sport 57%, draw 22%, Wil 21%.
Will both teams score in Yverdon Sport vs Wil?
The model gives a 57% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Yverdon Sport vs Wil?
Expected goals are 2.2 for Yverdon Sport and 1.15 for Wil — about 3.4 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Yverdon Sport vs Wil?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (10%). Double chance for Yverdon Sport or draw is 81%.