Zabki vs Pelikan Łowicz Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Zabki vs Pelikan Łowicz
Model pick: Zabki (67%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.42 – 0.85
Total goals: 3.3
Over 2.5: 58%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Zabki | Pelikan Łowicz |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.8 | 1.4 / 1.4 |
*Zabki shown at home, Pelikan Łowicz shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Zabki — last 5
LWLDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Pelikan Łowicz — last 5
WWWLD
On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 40% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Zabki (home) | Pelikan Łowicz (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 40% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.24
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 63%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.42 vs 0.85):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (11%) |
| Double chance — Zabki or draw (1X) | 89% |
| Double chance — Pelikan Łowicz or draw (X2) | 28% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 83% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 84% / 16% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 41% / 59% |
| Zabki clean sheet | 43% |
| Pelikan Łowicz clean sheet | 9% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Zabki is the model's most likely outcome at
67%. Zabki are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.3, this shapes as an open game (58% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Zabki vs Pelikan Łowicz — FAQ
Who will win Zabki vs Pelikan Łowicz?
Our statistical model makes Zabki the most likely result at 67%. Full probabilities: Zabki 67%, draw 19%, Pelikan Łowicz 14%.
Will both teams score in Zabki vs Pelikan Łowicz?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Zabki vs Pelikan Łowicz?
Expected goals are 2.42 for Zabki and 0.85 for Pelikan Łowicz — about 3.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Zabki vs Pelikan Łowicz?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (11%). Double chance for Zabki or draw is 89%.