Zabki vs Wigry Suwałki Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 19, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Zabki vs Wigry Suwałki
Model pick: Wigry Suwałki (48%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.13 – 0.78
Total goals: 0.9
Over 2.5: 19%
Both teams score: 24%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Zabki | Wigry Suwałki |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.67 / 2.0 | 1.8 / 1.0 |
*Zabki shown at home, Wigry Suwałki shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Zabki — last 5
DLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Wigry Suwałki — last 5
WLWWD
On the road: clean sheet 31% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Zabki (home) | Wigry Suwałki (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 31% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 50% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.15
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 62%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.13 vs 0.78):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (40%) |
| Double chance — Zabki or draw (1X) | 50% |
| Double chance — Wigry Suwałki or draw (X2) | 94% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 56% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 23% / 77% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 1% / 99% |
| Zabki clean sheet | 46% |
| Wigry Suwałki clean sheet | 88% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Wigry Suwałki is the model's most likely outcome at
48%. Despite playing away, Wigry Suwałki edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (81% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Zabki vs Wigry Suwałki — FAQ
Who will win Zabki vs Wigry Suwałki?
Our statistical model makes Wigry Suwałki the most likely result at 48%. Full probabilities: Zabki 8%, draw 44%, Wigry Suwałki 48%.
Will both teams score in Zabki vs Wigry Suwałki?
The model gives a 24% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Zabki vs Wigry Suwałki?
Expected goals are 0.13 for Zabki and 0.78 for Wigry Suwałki — about 0.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Zabki vs Wigry Suwałki?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (40%). Double chance for Zabki or draw is 50%.